Friday, September 3, 2010

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(Note: Bet the Farm Friday or (BTFF) will run every Friday with the implied assumption that a) FH2H doesn't encourage gambling, b) we only encourage sports betting where legal, AND c) there are a lot of online sportsbooks available that are ambiguous on the legality so it should be okay...wait, did I say that out loud...nevermind....moving on....)

Today's Topic: This weekend's games


Well, we're already off to a good start after last night (Utah -2.5 and S. Carolina -14) and the weekend hasn't even started yet. With so many games Saturday, Van Dawgin and I are confident we can find some more sure-fire winners:

Northwestern (-3.5) at Vanderbilt -- Northwestern is a team that finished 8-5 last year, barely losing a bowl game to Auburn in overtime. They return their top rusher from last year (Arby Fields) as well as their top two tacklers in Quentin Davie and Nate Williams. Their head coach, Pat Fitzgerald, is 27-23 at Northwestern and has won 17 games in the past two seasons. They have proven they can win on the road, beating then 6th ranked Iowa last year. Vanderbilt is coming off a disastrous 2-10 season and most notably lost head coach Bobby Johnson. Robbie Caldwell, the new coach, has zero head coaching experience, and Vanderbilt only returns 11 starters from last year. They have no proven quarterback and I can't see how they can keep up offensively with Northwestern. Dawgola's play: Northwestern -3.5

Oregon St (+13.5) vs. TCU (Arlington, TX) -- TCU is coming off a very successful 12-1 season that saw them compete in the Fiesta Bowl. They do return 16 starters but lose their leading tackler in Daryl Washington as well as their leading pass rusher in Jerry Hughes. Although their offense led the Mountain West in most categories, they only scored 14 points against Clemson and 10 points against Boise State last year, who were the two best teams they faced. They are listed as the home team, but the game is actually played at the new Cowboys' stadium. Oregon State returns star rusher Jacquizz Rogers as well as four offensive linemen. They are coming off an 8-5 season and return 15 starters. They do have a new QB but will rely on Jacquizz and the experienced O-Line to carry the team. Although I would be surprised to see Oregon State win this game outright, 13.5 points are too many for a well-coached, veteran BCS team. Dawgola's play: Oregon State: +13.5

And finally A GUEST PICK...

Connecticut (+3) at Michigan -- The Huskies have an extremely talented O-line this year with 1st Team Big East center Moe Petrus headlining the unit. All five starters had at least 5 starts last year. Junior Jordan Todman is in the backfield this year, last year having rushed for 1188 yards and fourteen touchdowns. I think this combo of O-line and a great running game will give UM fits. This will also take a lot of pressure off of ND transfer QB Zach Frazer, who was up and down last year. Michigan has announced Denard Robinson as their starting quaterback which is somewhat suspect, as he only completed 14 passes last year compared to Tate Forcier's 165/281/2050/13/10. As far as skill positions go, UM looks slow and of the players listed on the depth chart, I can't say they were high level recruits because I've never heard of them. UCONN has some liabilities on the defensive side of the ball, especially at the CB position, however.
Martin Van Dawgin's play: UCONN +3

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